As an export nation and the economic engine of Europe, Germany is facing fundamental decisions in the face of geopolitical tensions. These will have a decisive influence on whether growth opportunities or increasing consolidation pressure will characterise the economic future. Against this backdrop, in this blog article we analyse the Coalition Agreement 2025 objectively and without political judgement with a view to relevant impulses for entrepreneurship, innovation and technology promotion.

Several studies show: Companies that focus on innovation in times of crisis are more successful in the long term than those that do without it (‘Innovation in a crisis: Why it is more critical than ever, June 2020, McKinsey & Company; Roaring Out of Recession.’ Harvard Business Review 88, no. 3, March 2010, 62-69). New needs, markets and business models emerge precisely in phases of economic uncertainty. Those who act promptly can actively shape structural change and secure sustainable competitive advantages. An economic downturn can therefore open up significant new growth opportunities for Germany as a business location provided that companies respond with strategically orientated investments in innovation and transformation in order to adapt to changing market conditions and a possible continuation of the crisis at an early stage. However, the political framework conditions for such innovation dynamics are also important.

  1. Economic Culture: Promoting entrepreneurship and start-ups in line with social responsibility
  2. Innovation Strategy: Supporting key technologies and industries to generate future added value
  3. Innovation Leadership: Strengthening technology transfer through creative framework conditions and a willingness to take risks

These pillars can be addressed individually, but are only effective together in the long term. Interfaces must be sensibly interlinked.

Economic Culture

A clearly formulated goal of the coalition agreement is to develop Germany into a ‘start-up nation’. According to the KfW Start-up Monitor 2024, the number of start-ups has been declining since 2003 (approx. 1.5 million start-ups) and has recently stagnated at around 570,000. The study cited bureaucracy, access to customers, the economic situation and opportunity costs as key hurdles. The education system also received poor ratings with regard to entrepreneurial skills. There is therefore a need for action.

The coalition paper addresses this with the following measures, among others:
  • Reduction in bureaucracy, fewer documentation requirements and simplification of norms and standards for SMEs, tradespeople and the self-employed.
  • The simplification of notarial procedures and the facilitation of digital notarisation processes as well as the automatic exchange of data between the notary's office, tax office and trade office are to be achieved in the next legislative period.
  • Examination of a ‘start-up protection zone’ to reduce bureaucracy and the introduction of a digital one-stop shop for start-ups within 24 hours. Employee share ownership is to be further strengthened through the practical organisation of tax and social security law.
  • With a German fund totalling at least 10 billion euros of the federal government's own funds, at least 100 billion euros of private capital is to be activated for SMEs and scale-ups.
  • The Future Fund from the last legislative period is to be doubled to 25 billion euros by 2030. The start-up financing architecture will undergo an ‘efficiency check’. A Future Fund II focussing on spin-offs and growth in the deep tech and biotech sectors is to be established.
  • Entrepreneurship education is to be included as a further goal in the future agreement on studying and teaching and a new start-up culture is to be established at research institutions.
  • Easier access to innovation programmes and competitive energy costs for companies with permanent relief of at least five cents per kWh are intended to promote entrepreneurship.

     
 

Interim conclusion: The coalition agreement addresses key issues of ‘economic culture’ and specifies corresponding goals. The decisive factor for the future development of Germany as a business location will be how these goals are specifically organised and implemented.

 
 

Innovation Strategy

The coalition plans to increase the share of spending on research and development to at least 3.5% of GDP by 2030 with the aim of catching up with highly innovative countries such as Israel, South Korea and Sweden (source: OECD Indicators, Gross domestic spending on R&D in 2023). The key technologies and industries mentioned in the coalition paper are broadly diversified:

 
Key technologies          
Key industries and sectors
 
  • Additive manufacturing and 3D printing
  • Autonomous driving
  • Biotechnology
  • Fusion and climate-neutral energy generation
  • Development and production of pharmaceuticals, active ingredients and medical products
  • ICT
  • Climate-neutral mobility
  • Artificial intelligence
  • Lightweight construction technology
  • Maritime technologies
  • Micro- and nanoelectronics
  • Photonics
  • Quantum technology
  • Robotics
  • Automotive and supplier industry as a key industry
  • Battery cell production including raw material extraction, recycling and mechanical and plant engineering
  • Biotechnology as a key industry
  • Chemical industry
  • Cloud and AI infrastructure industry
  • Gaming industry
  • Aviation industry
  • Microelectronics
  • Pharmaceutical industry
  • Aerospace as a future and key technology
  • Shipbuilding and shipbuilding suppliers
  • Steel industry
  • Defence industry

 

Under a ‘high-tech agenda’, specific projects are named for some of these areas, such as:
  • Establishment of AI centres of excellence (‘AI Gigafactory’)
  • Development of quantum computers
  • Competence centre for chip design
  • National biobank
  • Construction of a fusion reactor in Germany

     
  Interim conclusion: 

A clear focus can be seen in the ‘Innovation Strategy’ area. Traditional mechanical and plant engineering, an important export sector for Germany, is only mentioned once in the overview in connection with battery production. The field of automated aerial, ground and underwater drones appears to be subsumed under robotics. The railway industry is primarily mentioned in the context of rail infrastructure and freight and passenger transport.

 

 

Innovation Leadership

While ‘economic culture’ and ‘innovation strategy’ form important foundations, the actual progress of innovation is largely determined by implementation: the transfer of research into practice, the promotion of collaborations and the scaling of successful approaches. In this context, ‘innovation leadership’ means providing the right structures, incentives and funding instruments.
  • Existing R&D programmes will be continued: Continuation and strengthening of the programmes ZIM (Central Innovation Programme for SMEs), IGF (Industrial Collective Research), KMU-innovativ and INNO-KOM (Innovation Competence Funding Programme)
  • Continuation of Federal Ministry of Research, Technology and Space transfer programmes including ‘DATIpilot’ (pilot project of the German Agency for Transfer and Innovation) and DAFG (German Applied Research Association) programmes such as ‘Research at UAS’ and ‘UAS Personnel’
  • Appropriate participation of universities of applied sciences in DFG funding (German Research Foundation)
  • Expansion of regional funding programmes such as ‘WIR Wandel durch Innovation in der Region’, ‘RUBIN Regionale unternehmerische Bündnisse für Innovation’ and ‘T!Raum TransferRäume für die Zukunft von Regionen’
  • Targeted offers such as AI real-world labs for SMEs
  • Continuation of regional transformation networks and hubs in the automotive industry beyond 2025
  • Existing technology centres and innovation clusters in the federal states serve as a basis for the expansion of further activities

     
  Interim Conclusion: 

In the area of ‘Innovation Leadership’, the coalition is focusing primarily on existing programmes. According to the coalition paper, the federal government's funding policy is to be more closely aligned with performance indicators in the course of consolidation. New measures are primarily formulated with a view to efficiency and effectiveness, without making concrete statements on additional financial scope.

 

 

 

 

 


 

Coalition agreement 2025: established players in demand

In conclusion, it can be said that the new coalition has recognised the key challenges facing entrepreneurship and has identified measures to address them. A strategic prioritisation of key technologies and industrial fields has taken place and makes sense overall, without any major surprises. Both deep tech topics (as defined by the Deep Tech Talent Initiative of the European Institute of Technology) and technologies and industries with greater potential for spill-over effects or cross-innovation are addressed.

The continuation of proven measures in the area of innovation leadership is positive. However, there is a lack of concrete new impetus, for example to strengthen technology transfer, bring deep-tech innovations to the market more quickly and further develop the innovation ecosystem in Germany. This is precisely where established players need to actively fulfil their role: Network management institutions and innovation consultancies are called upon to use their expertise, intensify their efforts and exploit all the opportunities on offer for their clients. From the point of view of innovation consulting, politicians are called upon to create reliable financial framework conditions when implementing the coalition paper, such as planning security for funding programmes, so that companies can take advantage of growth opportunities and be successful in the long term.

EurA has been a reliable partner to industry for technology transfer and open innovation for over 25 years. In our ZIM-funded innovation networks, we accompany the technology leaders of tomorrow and provide support with funding.

 

Text: Dr Viktor Schneider

Dr Viktor Schneider

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Dr Viktor Schneider

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Thank you for reading! If you would like to learn more about this topic, I look forward to talking to you. I studied physics with a focus on plasma technology and have a PhD in materials science with a focus on nanocomposites. At EurA in Schleswig-Holstein, I have been working as a project and network manager, certified go-Inno advisor and EU funding coordinator since 2017. I am highly motivated to use my knowledge, experience and skills for the successful growth of innovative companies. I lead many projects in the field of electric and automated mobility (air, water, road) and have extensive experience in national and European funding. I have advised many start-ups, medium-sized and large companies on how to realise their innovations. I am also a passionate cross-fitter, even if I'm not quite in top form any more.
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